Written by Cornermanden. The author’s opinions and predictions are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Unibet. Odds and details may change between the time of writing and when placing a bet – always check before betting.

An amputated weekend in League One during the international break, as many teams have numerous players called up for duty by their home countries. I’ve previewed a few of the games that are set to go ahead. These are my betting tips for League One round 38.

More Misery For Accy
Exeter City – Accrington Stanley

I’ve written a lot about Accrington during the last couple of months, it feels like, and I will presumably continue to do so as long as I watch them on a regular basis. On Tuesday they were beaten 2-0 by Plymouth Argyle on their own turf, a game in which I thought they were quite depressing to watch, although they battled hard and fought until the last second. Stanley were unlucky not to be awarded a penalty kick in the 10th minute, when a Plymouth player handled the ball – illegally, in my opinion. Former Stanley player Matt Butcher scored a few moments later, which proved to be the winning goal in the end.

This will be Stanley’s 7th game since March 4, a ridiculously high number for such a thin squad who have been hit with injuries and suspensions throughout the season. Exeter away is a long journey against a team who are safe from any relegation concerns and without anything meaningful to play for. I haven’t picked bets in many Exeter games this season, and for good reason. The Grecians are in my “not very touchable” bucket with other teams that I seldom feel comfortable betting on (or against). For this match, however, I think Accrington’s desperation and Exeter’s willingness to play with more freedom should give us an open game where both teams take shots and play their way to decent chances. Corners are my pick, unsurprisingly.

Battle At The Bottom
MK Dons – Morecambe

We are finding ourselves in the time of the season where desperation and panic become a reality for teams, managers and players. As I said about Accrington, the desperation that they show has become obvious. They are launching balls in the box and chasing a two goal deficit, although playing with ten men against top of the league Plymouth who had all 11 players on the pitch. MK Dons and Morecambe are going toe-to-toe here, in a colossal game at the bottom of the table. I think it’s safe to say that both have to get something, or else the task of staying up just gets bigger and bigger. 

The win is probably more important for Morecambe, who are in the relegation spots and yet to go to places like Barnsley, Charlton, Portsmouth, Exeter and have home games against Plymouth, Wycombe and Lincoln. I hate coming with knee jerk hot takes, but I think Morecambe are down if they don’t get at least a point at Stadium MK on Saturday. Three should be the target, without doubt. Yet again, I think the corners are logical in a game where only three points is a realistically good enough return for either team.

Down And Out
Forest Green Rovers – Sheffield Wednesday

Forest Green and Duncan Ferguson have been relegated. Maybe not in theory, but in reality they have. He’s not won a game since taking over in January. Performances have definitely been a bit brighter from time to time, but it’s symptomatic for a team at the bottom to lose games regardless of how they perform. The vegans from Gloucestershire can start to prepare for next season already, but gaining some momentum and getting a few decent experiences from now and until the end of the season will be of some worth. Doing so against Darren Moore’s Sheffield Wednesday, who are a wounded animal after their midweek defeat at rivals Barnsley, would be massive.

I still think that most things point to a reaction from Wednesday on Sunday, but at 1.45, I would consider myself mad to touch it. It’s a game where Forest Green can – just like Exeter – let their shoulders down and play with freedom, while Wednesday – just like Accrington – are desperate for points to get where they want to go. I think corners (again) can be a wise pick – especially if Wednesday don’t get in front early.

Conclusion

The consequences of winning, drawing and losing are becoming apparent. These are my betting tips for League One round 38:

• Over 10.5 corners in: Exeter – Accrington @ 1.82.
• Over 9.5 corners in: MK Dons – Morecambe @ 2.02.