Football fan holding the Italian flag

Written by Ballardini. The author’s opinions and predictions are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Unibet. Odds and details may change between the time of writing and when placing a bet – always check before betting.

New week equals new Serie A blog. But first things first. My last blog was all about the premium match of the latest weekend, namely Napoli versus Juventus. In that match our main bet was the under line at half time. We unfortunately did miss that. What we did not miss though was our train of thoughts in this match. If Napoli were able to score first, we predicted a true obliteration of Juventus. And that was for sure a home run.

Because: Before the match between Napoli and Juventus, the latter had conceded 7 goals in total so far this season. After that match Juventus had conceded? 12 goals. Napoli managed to put 5 goals past Juventus’ Wojciech Szczęsny. That is as close to the definition of “champions” as we may get after doubters have been raising their voice after the Neapolitans troubled start of the year.


A team that certainly not have troubled so far in 2023 are Inter. They started the year with breaking Napoli’s unbeaten streak in the league this season. And they did so in a quite convincing way as well. Pretty much as convincing as in the mid-week when they beat their city rivals Milan 3-0 in the Supercoppa final.

Any value bets to find this weekend?

What is not convincing are the potential value bets in Serie A this weekend. Anyway, I will give my thoughts about those matches that I am closest to placing bets in. First of all, it is very few huge favorites this round. The only ones are Napoli away to Salernitana at 1.27 and Inter at home to Empoli at the same price. I have a hard time seeing neither of Napoli or Inter slipping in their match-ups. The sole arguments for a Napoli slip-up are the circumstances in Salernitana. And by circumstances I mean the fact that they need to hit back after getting demolished by 2-8 away to Atalanta. In addition to that their coach Davide Nicola got fired, and then rehired, all in the span of just 48 hours. This could give Salernitana a mental edge. But I honestly can’t see that potential edge be enough to argue for it to be a valuable investment.

Goals in the north?

What could be a valuable investment though is backing Monza and Sassuolo to bring some goals to the table. From what I know of these teams, I know both Monza and Sassuolo are eager to attack. One could also argue that they are eager to defend as well. The problem though is their capabilities. Thus, taking the attacking and defending factors into consideration, scenarios where the teams will be creating scoring chances are definitely in place. Is it enough to back the teams going over 2.5 goals in total at 1.77? I do not know for certain. There may some slight value there, but not enough for me to place any bets there at this moment in time.

New week equals new Serie A blog indeed, and that is all from me this time out.

All the best, “Ballardini”.