Written by Cornermanden. The author’s opinions and predictions are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Unibet. Odds and details may change between the time of writing and when placing a bet – always check before betting.

One week closer to the final conclusion of the 2022/2023 Premier League season. Here are my (extended) thoughts for a couple of the games, and my Premier League betting tips for round 32.

Nervous Gunners?
Arsenal – Southampton

Top vs. bottom when The Gunners host The Saints, which on paper sounds like a comfortable home win, simple as. But football isn’t played on paper, as the saying goes, and I think the humongous pressure on the Arsenal players’ shoulders is something that is difficult to comprehend for us who sit on the outside. 1.19 is clearly a price that you don’t see very often at this level, but do I think it’s justifiable? Ha ha, absolutely. I watched parts of Southampton’s game against Crystal Palace on Saturday, and it looked like a resigned team who “accepted” their relegation destiny. A bright start to the game petered out and Palace dominated the game from half time to the end. 

The first thing that I’m doing when looking for some appealing odds for this game, is to scroll down and look at the asian handicap market. My first thought is obviously to see if I can get some juice out of Arsenal -1.75 or -2. 

1.83 is the price for Arsenal -2, which means that you get your stake refunded if they win by exactly two goals; you win if they beat Southampton by three goals or more. Not the sexiest price, but one that I’m more interested in than Southampton +2 (which is the exact opposite of Arsenal -2). 

Although Arsenal haven’t been the most “reliable” corner team in the PL, I think this game should be all about domination and territory is the away team’s half from start to finish. If that turns out to be the case, there’s every chance that Arsenal will accumulate four corners or more than Southampton. I think Arsenal with a 0-3 corner handicap is a good bet here. Although they’re probably down, a point at the Emirates gives them something to take into the next games, looking for a spring miracle at the end of the season. 

“There Is A Light That Never Goes Out”
Leicester City – Wolverhampton Wanderers

My first “The Smiths” reference of the blog. Dean Smith has been appointed as Leicester City’s new manager, and City fans will hope that he can ignite something in the very tame Foxes as they fight for their lives. They are in 19th position, which is a disgustingly bad place to be for a team who won the Premier League only seven years ago. The points gap up to their opponents on Saturday is nine, and should be unsurmountable. Leicester will obviously only care about themselves, but I can’t see them catching any other teams than Nottingham Forest, Everton and/or Leeds United. This realisation, with only seven more games to play, adds to the pressure of staying in the division. 

As always for a struggling team at the bottom end of the table, the home games will be crucial in their bid to stay in the division. Looking at Leicester’s final games, there is probably a good chance that they’ll win enough games. Wolves, Everton, Liverpool and West Ham are their home games, while they travel to Leeds, Fulham and Newcastle. If they need 10-13 points to stay up, I think they have enough about them in the last seven games to do so.

First up is Wolves, who have won their last two and gone unbeaten for the last three. I think we should expect a quite deep and narrow Wolves team who are happy with a 0-0. The “ball” will be in Leicester’s court, where they have to take the game to their Midlands rivals. It’s a difficult one to call, but I think picking shots for the home team is a logical way to go about it. The bet of the weekend which I am without doubt the most “bullish” on, is Leicester to have over 11.5 shots @ 1.97.

Conclusion

Many interesting games in the Premier League this weekend – as always, one might say. I’ve landed on a couple of really interesting bets that I like a lot. These are my Premier League betting tips for round 32:

• Arsenal-Southampton. Arsenal 0-3 corner handicap @ 1.77.
• Leicester-Wolves. Leicester over 11.5 shots @ 1.97.