Written by Cornermanden. The author’s opinions and predictions are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Unibet. Odds and details may change between the time of writing and when placing a bet – always check before betting.

Not many rounds left of the Premier League season. Let’s have a look at a few of the most interesting games! Three out of four bets landed last week, by the way. Here are my Premier League betting tips for Round 36.

Big Sam At The Wheel
Leeds United – Newcastle United

Two of the Uniteds of the north (not talking about Carlisle) go head to head on Saturday at noon in an incredibly important game for both teams. Newcastle are fighting for a spot in next year’s Champions League, while Leeds United are trying their hardest to avoid games against Rotherham United (another United…), Plymouth Argyle and Cardiff City next season. 

The Lillywhites had enough of Javi Gracia after only a couple of months, and have now hired Big Sam Allardyce as their new manager, primarily in desperation to avoid relegation this season. Karl Robinson (former League One manager with Oxford United) is his assistant, which I really like as a League One fan. Staying in the PL is so, so important for any team, and most of us who follow the Championship know how difficult it is to get out of it in the first place. 

If we look at the league table, Newcastle should be more worried than you’d like to think if you’re a Magpies fan, bearing in mind that Liverpool are flying just behind them in 5th spot. Luckily for them, Man United have withered a bit and now lost two games in a row. Getting a win at Elland Road would give them a huge advantage. Relegation threatened Leeds will have to get the job done in their home games, I reckon. They have a tricky away match at West Ham in a fortnight, before they finish the season with hosting Spurs at Elland Road. 

I think this is a great game to bet on, just because of what’s on the line and what it means for both teams. If you get your analysis right, you can profit on that this time of the year. Eddie Howe’s team are worthy favourites at 1.70, which sounds pretty fair. It’s also an expectancy for goals here; understandably so, but 1.60 is a bit on the short side in my view. Big Sam will have a defensive focus ahead of this game (you’d think) and set them up to be hard to beat and exploit Newcastle on the counters. 

An Unwelcome Distraction
Everton – Manchester City

City travelled to Spain earlier in the week and got an alright 1-1 result away at Real Madrid in the first semi-final leg. The return leg will take place next week, so the Everton away game is sandwiched in between on Sunday afternoon. They are huge favourites to win the league, so if there ever is a game that Pep can choose to rotate a bit for, this one might be it. But as you will know by now if you follow this league, in reality there’s no such thing as a weakened City team as long as Haaland, De Bruyne and Rodri all play. We’ll see if they choose to rest them for this game, but I think they’ll march on to make sure that they get the job in the league, although a more important game in isolation awaits against Madrid.

A little story about my life on Monday: I was in the men’s restroom, on my way home from work on Monday when I checked the result in Brighton-Everton, and my initial reaction was “what?!”. 3-0 up at half time against one of the best teams in the league – away from home! – was nothing less than a shock. I watched the 2nd half and was yet again impressed by Everton’s grittiness and ability to defend most of Brighton’s 44 crosses in the game.

1.38 on City seems a bit low, I have to be honest. But low enough for me to bet against? 

I’ve been searching for corners, shots, goals and everything in between here, but am yet to find a really appealing bet. City will not have it all their own way at Goodison, I think, so I definitely wouldn’t be against betting on under 3 (asian) goals at 1.82, which means that you get your stake refunded if the game finishes with exactly three goals. Profit if zero, one or two goals.

Quickly Elsewhere

Arsenal host Brighton in a very interesting game. I haven’t decided where I’m leaning here, but Arsenal usually concede chances at home. Brighton over 10.5 shots at 1.74 shouldn’t be a terrible bet. I also want to bet on Harry Kane to have more than 1.5 shots on target away at Villa, simply because he takes a ton of shots and will get chances in this game, I think.

Conclusion

Here are my Premier League betting tips for Round 36:

• Arsenal-Brighton. Brighton over 10.5 shots @ 1.74.
• Aston Villa-Tottenham. Kane over 1.5 shots on target @ 2.70.