Written by Cornermanden. The author’s opinions and predictions are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Unibet. Odds and details may change between the time of writing and when placing a bet – always check before betting.

Two rounds remain for this season in the Premier League, which is sad, but unavoidably true. Yet again, both of my PL bets landed last week, so I will hope to keep that run going with some longshots this time around. These are my Premier League betting tips for round 37.

It Doesn’t Get Any Bigger Than This
West Ham United – Leeds United

West Ham are all but done with this Premier League season, but their United counterparts from Leeds are most definitely not. They still have it all to play for with two rounds left of the campaign.

This preview will primarily be about Leeds, who got a point out of their game with Newcastle last weekend. Probably not enough, but at the same a lot better than what the betting market expected (Newcastle were handed a win probability of 59%). Sam Allardyce, who obviously has a good history with their opponents on Sunday, said in his post-match interviews that they have to find something to get two wins out of their two last games. It will be a huge task, but facing teams with nothing to play for should be favourable for desperate Leeds United, staring into the relegation abyss.

My thoughts ahead of this game are as follows: Leeds probably have to win, and bearing in mind that this is West Ham’s last home game of the season, I’m pretty sure that they want to end the season on a high. I would be tempted to bet on goals here, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a very protectful Leeds team if they get the first goal in this one. Shots, however, should be – and is – interesting to me. I just can’t see a scenario where neither team has an incentive to attack, which is a great place to start when you’re betting on a game to contain plenty of shots. Over 25.5 shots at 1.96 is surely a decent value bet.

Clinching The Title
Manchester City – Chelsea

I wouldn’t go as far as to say that City have proved me wrong, because my opinion about Arsenal winning the league was mostly down to my admiration of The Gunners. I thought they’d keep their form going and be more ruthless in terms of picking up points, than what’s been the case. City – as normal, you’d be safe to say – have been relentless when things really matter and generally win every game. Their best players are in great form, and the collective spirit looks to be at an all-time high.

Chelsea, though? Not so much. Lampard has struggled “bigtime” to get a tune out of his players since taking the job, and after a tight game which ended with three points against Bournemouth, they were poor and way off the expected standard when they hosted Nottingham Forest on Saturday. I’ve said that I think it’s just a matter of time until they really get going, but now, with nothing to play for and the players looking ready for the beach, I think they’ll get absolutely hammered by City.

I would be looking at City -2.5 at 2.63 and I would be looking at City -3.5 at 4.70. I just don’t trust this lacklustre Chelsea team in these games.

Needing A Win, But Probably Not Getting One
Newcastle United – Leicester City

Newcastle played on Thursday night, so the Leicester players should be a tad more rested and ready for the battle on Monday night. But just as I said about Chelsea, I think this team is done for the season – although they clearly have it all to play for to avoid relegation. This preview will not be published until Sunday, so you will know how Everton and Forest got on before reading this. Regardless of that, Leicester need the points and are likely to need all three of them at St. James’ Park on Monday, against a team who also have plenty to play for.

Newcastle started the season by being rigid at the back and a very tough nut to crack, but have lately been getting used to conceding sloppy goals and giving themselves a mountain to climb by having to score more than one goal a game. In their last 15 games, 20 goals have been conceded. That’s more than Palace, Fulham, Brentford and actually seven more than Aston Villa. This will need to be addressed quickly and ahead of next season if The Magpies want to challenge for the title in the 23/24 campaign.

Dean Smith and Leicester City, my oh my, that’s not turned out to be the wonderful success story that Foxes fans had hoped for. Realistically I don’t think expectations were high, but only two wins from their last 15 games is a shocking return. If we look at the form table over the last 20 games, they have as many wins (3) as Southampton and Leeds, which – needless to say – is the worst in the division.

They have to get something from this one, but will they? I don’t think so. You often see teams go out fighting and really give it a go at this stage of the season, before collapsing completely if they go a goal or two behind. I wouldn’t be surprised to see exactly that panning out here. Just as I did with City, I want to get on a big Newcastle handicap here. The -2.5 odds (meaning they have to win by three or more) is priced at 3.40. I want to go big this weekend.

Conclusion

My Premier League betting tips for round 37 are as follows:

• West Ham-Leeds. Over 25.5 shots @ 1.96.
• Newcastle-Leicester. Newcastle -2.5 (asian) @ 3.40.
• Man City-Chelsea. Man City -2.5 (asian) @ 2.63.